Tomorrow ..actually in a few hours …President Joe Biden will allegedly arrive in Israel to demonstrate his “unqualified” support for Israel in its war against Hamas and the other various terror groups inhabiting the Gaza Strip. Many Israelis are jubilant about his arrival, accepting at face value his words of support, including many senior Israeli military officers. I find this perplexing and worrisome. Perhaps it is further evidence of the creeping malady of wokism in the Israeli military office corps as I wrote in a previous blog.
In fact Biden will be arriving in Israel with two objectives, first to boost his sagging poll numbers, trailing Trump in many states. The need to look and act “presidential” without falling over the speakers rostrum will be paramount. Secondly Biden and his handlers will beg, threaten, enjoin, encourage, Israeli leaders to back off their ground offensive. This will be critical. The Iranian threats to order their surrogates in Lebanon to open a second front would bring once again into odoriferous question the Obama/Biden strategy of making Iran the Middle Eastern kingpin. The Obama’Biden regime has spent unknown billions of American tax payer money propping up a murderous regime for reasons that still escape me. A possible continued Israeli ground offensive is being attacked at every turn by the establishment elite, usually under the guise that it is bad for Israel and ultimately for America. The Uber elitist establishment Foreign Affairs had a number of articles, all lamenting the supposed cost of IDF assault into the rubble of Gaza city. The old stalwarts of the Middle East wannabe opinion makers, such as Richard Haas and Marc Lynch weigh in on the disaster awaiting the IDF should they attempt to subdue Hamas, the horrors of an urban warfare scenario. From countless articles and talking heads we have all been made aware of the intricacies and difficulty of urban warfare especially in the Middle East. I observed that first hand in Amman in 1970 when the Jordan Arab Army ferreted out Palestinian guerrillas slowly and not very efficiently. It is tough and costs are high. However……;
What these assorted talking heads always fail to touch upon is the price to be paid if Israel fails to carry out the decimation of Hamas and assorted terrorist organizations such as the Islamic Jihad- As the political leaders of Israel have announced again and again in the early days of the conflict. It will be immediately be seized up on as the demonstrable weakness of Israel and her few remaining backers- The U.S. and some the effete Europeans.
Actually urban warfare should not be seen as some immovable obstacle to destruction of a terrorist organization. The Russians did it in their second investment of Grozny after their first disastrous try. They used snipers, heavy artillery, and slow methodical tactics to level Grozny block by block, and eventually the Chechens, those surviving, the most fearsome warriors in the world, fled the city.
See. Mark Gallieotti Russia’s Wars in Chechnya 1994-2009
So what will we see as an “end “ to this unending war? The Israelis will be coerced into a much less than satisfactory truce of some sort, with the release of the hostages. The Hamas leadership will be mostly intact and perhaps some of the most nefarious butchers of the Hamas will be find luxurious accommodations in Turkey, Qatar, maybe even Iran. Netanyahu, much to the joy of the left-to whom most the blame for the debacle belongs. will be turned out of office. To quieten the Israelis who rightfully want to exact revenge and destroy the Hamas, the IDF will conduct limited drives into parts of the Gaza Strip avoiding most of the urban areas. The Israeli leaders will make victory noises, as Moshe Dayan said after the 73 war, “ we taught the Arabs to fight and they taught us to lie.”Mark it up as an Islamist victory and A defeat for Israel and for the paper tiger on the block- The once great and feared USA. Hate to write that ….but ideas and actions have consequences. We have Biden.
I pray I am totally wrong… we will see.