Iran. The domestic conflict continues

There are eerie similarities between the situation in Iran today and the rebellion which overthrew the shah. The most critical one is the continuing strikes of key industries in Iran. One for the telling and critical tipping points in the revolt t against the Shah was the strike of the oil workers. Iran’s life blood is oil and  with their  feeble economy it will not take much to fall into a desperate  economic situation. Also rumors continue to make the rounds that some of the Iranian officials are worried about their families and looking for safe havens. There are also hints here and there that some Iranian officials are talking about mistakes and condemning over reaction by the Basij. This reminds me of the fact that the shah in an desperate attempt to pacify the mobs put his former security chief in prison. The problem with these tepid moves to ameliorate the anger of the protestors is that history shows that once a despotic regime lifts its heel..however slightly…. off the throat of the people it loses control.

However the protestors have no leader, apparent unity, or clear cut objective. Moreover it appears that the major problem is in the Kurdish areas. The Regime  leadership can manipulate this situation into a Persian vs Kurdish conflict  to deflate the protests.

One thing for sure, if the protests fail to materialize into something  more serious, the reaction of the scared rats of the regime will seek  bloody  retribution  against those who participated.Im sure the protestors are aware of this  but not cognizant  of the mass executions and  purging of anyone associated withe Shah in the earlier rebellion. After all most of the protestors today, at the time of the rebellion against the Shah were not yet born.

It should be pointed out that the Kurdish uprising against the Islamic regime after it deposed the Shah was very bloody and thorough. They eliminated the leaders and intelligentsia of the Kurds ……and have no compunction about doing it again.

IRAN. August 27, 1979. After a short show-trial, 11 people charged as being “counterrevolutionary” were executed at Sanandaj Airport. Nine of the eleven men in this photo were Kurds. This photo won the Pulitzer Prize in 1980. The recipient was known as “anonymous” until 2006 when Jahangir RAZMI told the Wall Street Journal that he had taken it.

At some point the hope is that a military leader from the army will arrive on the scene and the protestors will coalesce   around him. Secondly the revolution against the shah turned deadly when the Homofars ( warrant officers ) of the Air Force deserted the Shah and broke into the armories obtaining weapons and handing them out to the mobs. First a dribble of soldiers deserted tom the mobs, then it became a stream, throwing away their weapons and running toward the crowds. Its there some way the protestors of d today can obtain weapons? Insofar as I know there have been no widespread defection of military personnel to the anti-regime protestors. Many of the tweets from Iran by the protestors have the tone of hope more than actual accomplishments.

But there can be little doubt that there is much concern among the ruling mullahs and their supporters. I can imagine that at the top in the air-conditioned offices of the top mullahs, IRGC, and Basij, many heated discussions are going on…to wit….from one side why are we procrastinating? And from the other…recommendations to toss out placebos to the protestors until they burn themselves out.

Do not forget the brutality of the Ayatollah regime. From a reporter there at the time of the  execution of four of the Shah’s people below.

“After that, some of the attendees went to the basement, which was also the school’s amphitheater. They watched the film of Khomeini’s return to Iran yet again. Then they set the dinner table and brought rice and chicken, and began to eat.

It was about 10.30 pm when they said they were going to take them upstairs. It was very cold and snowy that night. It was a strange situation; God sees that my body still trembles when I remember it. But I always ask myself, “If I didn’t write it, who else would have?”

After that, some of the attendees went to the basement, which was also the school’s amphitheater. They watched the film of Khomeini’s return to Iran yet again. Then they set the dinner table and brought rice and chicken, and began to eat.

It was about 10.30 pm when they said they were going to take them upstairs. It was very cold and snowy that night. It was a strange situation; God sees that my body still trembles when I remember it. But I always ask myself, “If I didn’t write it, who else would have?”

The situation of each of them was different. Naji broke down and cried. Nasiri was wounded in the neck because he had been hung up in the detention center, but the rope broke, and his voice was hard to hear, and his head and face were injured because of the fists that had hit him. He kept saying: “Ya Ali”.

Rahimi stood very strong and powerful. He said “Long live the Shah, long live Iran” several times and was shot. But Khosrodad was the bravest of all: he did not allow them to close his eyes. He said: “Because I am the senior here, I will order the shooting.” And he ordered them to shoot himself.

Some people were crying, each for his own reason. I cried too. “Stop it, it could be to your detriment,” the newspaper photographer told me. But I couldn’t believe it. Until then, I didn’t believe the Islamic Republic meant blood, murder, and crime. The Islam I knew from my father and others around me was not like this.

Their families weren’t even informed. They read the news of the death of their loved ones in the newspaper the next day, or else found out through some of members of the Etela’at team before it was published.

How many people were on the roof at the time of the execution? Are any of them prominent figures today?

About 20 people were on the roof. [Conservative politician and former head of Khomenei’s security detail] Mohsen Rafiqdoost supervised; Hamid Reza Naghashian was Mr. Khomeini’s bodyguard.

The bodies of the four initial victims of the Iranian blood purge being proudly shown in the morgue. This pic was in the newspaper which is how their families found out they were dead.

families of sTheeveral of the killed Mojahedin-e Khagh [MKO] and Fadaiyan-e Islam members were also present: tor example, the parents of Mehdi Rezaei, a member of the MKO who was executed before the revolution, and the mother of Masoumeh Shadmani, known as Kabiri: a member of the MKO who was arrested in 1974 and sentenced to life imprisonment. Several others who had been informed about it were also there.But Ayatollah Taleghani [a senior cleric and critic of the Shah who died later in 1979] refused to come despite being informed. Rezaei’s father was given a gun to shoot, but he cried and said “I cannot”. Several other family members also refused to shoot. Then four young revolutionaries took charge – but they had covered their faces. The weather was cold and snowy that night; with hats on, jackets and cloths over their faces, their faces were unrecognizable. An officer named Humafar shot at them and the bodies fell on the snow.The situation of each of them was different. Naji broke down and cried. Nasiri was wounded in the neck because he had been hung up in the detention center, but the rope broke, and his voice was hard to hear, and his head and face were injured because of the fists that had hit him. He kept saying: “Ya Ali”.Rahimi stood very strong and powerful. He said “Long live the Shah, long live Iran” several times and was shot. But Khosrodad was the bravest of all: he did not allow them to close his eyes. He said: “Because I am the senior here, I will order the shooting.” And he ordered them to shoot himself.Some people were crying, each for his own reason. I cried too. “Stop it, it could be to your detriment,” the newspaper photographer told me. But I couldn’t believe it. Until then, I didn’t believe the Islamic Republic meant blood, murder, and crime. The Islam I knew from my father and others around me was not like this.

Their families weren’t even informed. They read the news of the death of their loved ones in the newspaper the next day, or else found out through some of members of the Etela’at team before it was published.

The Shahs Security chief (of Savak) Nemaotolah Nassiri. The Shah put him in jail to placate the mobs but the mobs killed him anyway

 

How many people were on the roof at the time of the execution? Are any of them prominent figures today?

About 20 people were on the roof. [Conservative politician and former head of Khomenei’s security detail] Mohsen Rafiqdoost supervised; Hamid Reza Naghashian was Mr. Khomeini’s bodyguard.

The families of several of the killed Mojahedin-e Khagh [MKO] and Fadaiyan-e Islam members were also present: tor example, the parents of Mehdi Rezaei, a member of the MKO who was executed before the revolution, and the mother of Masoumeh Shadmani, known as Kabiri: a member of the MKO who was arrested in 1974 and sentenced to life imprisonment. Several others who had been informed about it were also there.

But Ayatollah Taleghani [a senior cleric and critic of the Shah who died later in 1979] refused to come despite being informed. Rezaei’s father was given a gun to shoot, but he cried and said “I cannot”. Several other family members also refused to shoot. Then four young revolutionaries took charge – but they had covered their faces. The weather was cold and snowy that night; with hats on, jackets and cloths over their faces, their faces were unrecognizable. An officer named Humafar shot at them and the bodies fell on the snow.

 

Lets hope the new rebellion succeeds!!

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Yom Kippur War 48 Years ago.

The Egyptian generals were amazed that the Israeli senior military and political leaders were caught flatfooted by the Egyptian/Syrian attack in 1973. If these Egyptian generals knew how many warning  from the highest levels and  the most impeccable sources that warned the Israelis they  would have been even more flabbergasted.To be sure the  Israeli troops were not the only ones surprised but most of the Egyptian army’s as well. In a survey of the 80000 Egyptians POWs in the Hands of the Israelis,  indicated only one knew the date of 3 Oct was the planned beginning of the war.Egyptian combat engineers carrying pontoon boats to the edge of the Suez, only realized it was not an exercise when ordered to put the boats in the water.See Chaim Herzog The War of Atonement, October 1973. BTW Despite being being one of the older books on the war it has the best  Military lessons learned of any the newer books.

Eli Zeira Chief of AMAN. Villain or scapegoat?

We now know that the Israelis had prior warning from the son-in-law of Abdul Nasser,  (Ashram Marwan)  and Gold Meir was warned by King Hussein of Jordan that war was imminent. Most damming was the fact  that Israeli commandos   had installed super sophisticated listening devices on all the Egyptian communication nodes.  Despite Egyptian super secret anti detection and deception measures there is no way they could have kept the Israelis unaware of the launch of the war. The problem was that they were considered so secret and vulnerable to detection that they were to be turned on only in case of a war imminent within hours or days .These taps were known as “special means.” The head of the AMAN ( Israeli Military Intelligence), Eli Zeira, was so convinced that there would be no war he refused to turn them on. There were many other sources and analyses from lower sources that indicated war was at the threshold. The other problems  was the top Israeli commanders though they had been turned on ( or they claimed so), and since no urgent  war warning was received they assumed there was nothing to worry about…at least not right away.

Ari Sharon. Israeli hero 1973 war. Villain of war in Lebanon. “War is hell” kind of guy. Like Patton probably not a sweet guy to work for but he got the work done. He had very little good things to say about his fellow generals, many were defeatist and failed to command.
His funeral. We could use a few Sharons in the US army. He would have probably fired a good number of the current US army leadership

So why were all these sources the  ignored? Two main reasons. Hubris and the ” e g conception.” The conception ran as follows. The Egyptians cannot start a war until they have air power parity …and they were a long way from that, secondly the Syrians would not go to war unless Egypt did so. The hubris centered around the conviction deeply embedded in the Israeli psyche that the Arabs were hopeless at war and were no match from the IDF.

Egyptian POWs in 67 war. The Hubris of the Egyptian leadership and their total incompetence made a not- so -great Israeli army look great.

A quote from Ariel Sharon (  An Autobiography:Warrior. by Ariel Sharon and David Charnoff tells the tale quite well. “I stood on the dunes there, the scene unfolding in front of me. As tanks and APCs withdrew past the observation  post,I stopped some of them to talk to the officers and saw something strange on their faces– not fear but bewilderment. Suddenly something was happening to them that had never happened before. These soldiers had been brought up on victories–not easy victories maybe, but  nevertheless victories . It was a generation that never lost. Now they were in a state of shock. How could it be that the Egyptians were crossing the canal right in our faces? How was it that they were moving forward and we were defeated.?”

General Gonen’s ( southern Front commander) had the typical Israeli view of the Egyptians, i.e.  he failed to properly assess the situation  but relied on his “intuition” based his earlier experience leading him  to view the Egyptians with “deep contempt.”

Israeli POWs in 73. Israeli soldiers were mostly from the “strongpoints” of the Bar-Lev line, along the Suez Canal. They were  overwhelmed by the massive Egyptian offensive and mostly abandoned by the unready Israeli forces.

Unfortunately the villain or scapegoat ( depending on who you read) was Eli Ze’eri head of military intelligence known as AMAN. He inherited the “concept” but then embraced it with  all consuming faith. No evidence to the contrary was admitted. He often referred to contrary reports as “bull shit,”He refused to turn on the “special means”  listening devices, even when the breathe of war was becoming a storm. Ze’eri was a capable combat commander  and had little time for the endless debates on  social theory or intelligence assessments. He was an action man. He was also apparently very persuasive  and demanding, and no one, not even Gold Meier questioned his opinions.Backing him up were two other intelligence officers, the Egypt  AMAN desk officer, Col.  Yona Bandman and the head of the research section BG Arye Shalev. Asked his assessment  of the Egyptian Armed Forces Shalev opined that they would “disintegrate”  in battle. Of course after the Agranat Commission hearing on the 73 war, all three of the above were fired. One can say at least the Israelis  did the right thing unlike  the Americans who allow debacles like the  Vietnam, Afghan, and Iraqi wars  pass into history without any culpability laid on the the those  most responsible. Of course even the Agranat commission  went limp on Moshe Dayan who was absent during most of the war, having totally fallen apart, as did a number of other Israeli  generals. He should have been named as one of the reasons for the “near thing” in the result of the war.

In August 1966  Moshe Dayan left  to Far East to be close to the Vietnam War. To study the secrets of the modern war, he joined the US troops, participating in ambushes in jungles of South Vietam. Dayan published his war impressions in many world wide and Israeli magazines. Unfortunately  what he learned was not useful in 73

All this leads to my thesis that  next to total destruction of an army the worse thing that can happen is an easy conquest….such as the Six Day war in 1967.  It was the albatross around the Israelis neck. All the wrong lessons are learned and become  imbedded. The Israelis, based everything on the tank and the airplane ,and forgotten was artillery and Air Defense,  and most importantly well trained and well equipped infantrymen. See Herzog.

Israeli soldiers celebrate after the 67 war. Israeli women in the forefront of combat is mostly mythology. But it made for good copy in the US.

The best account of the day today war, militarily and politically, is The Yom Kippur War: The Epic Encounter that Changed the Middle East,  by Abraham Rabinovich, although I disagree with some of the conclusions. I’m not convinced that it “transformed the Middle East.” But it was a very good thing for the Israeli society ( except  for those who lost lives or limbs). Why?

Because there are  no more articles like after the 6 Day War , depicting Israelis  as “super Jews,” and other supercilious nonsense. Their army  lacked discipline, and combat training. Chasing Palestinian terrorists around the West Bank in “whack a mole,” operations was not sufficient to keep the combat edge among the troops -just as the same type American operations in Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq has severely undermined the combat readiness of our army.  The Israelis know they are mere mortals like the rest of us and have no unique qualities that allow them to shortchange military discipline, training., and most importantly realistic assessments of their enemy.

Typical Arab depiction of Jews. When I was in the Egyptian cantonments in 81-82, these posters were everywhere. I think they are a little more media conscious now but has the thinking changed? somehow I doubt it. That’s why I don’t think the Middle East has “transformed.”

 

 

It should also be pointed out that if societies were without a certain hubris there would be a lot less wars. No quick, technic, bloodless wars as we tend to believe now. Has Putin Learned?  The Arabs in 48 and 67 went to war imbued with the  belief,  that as Ibn Khaldun  had written, the Jews were a servile race,  and generations of Arab propaganda has embedded the belief that Jews were unable to stand against the Arab  warriors. Unfortunately ( for the Arabs and Muslims in general) many still think that way.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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What is happening in Iran?

Bottom Line .We do not know. A couple of days ago I wrote that, despite my hopes, the new uprising will faiIl. gave several reasons, among which one particularly critical one is that the new revolutionaries do not have a single unifying leader. The new revolutionaries are from many disparate groups, including Baluchis in the eastern part of Iran, Arabs of Khuzistan and Persians in the cities across Iran. It is not just about   the wearing a hijab but the overall suffocation of the Iranian people under draconian, non sensical “religious”: rules…….. mostly made up in the inner sanctums of the ruling ayatollahs and  their   politicized military backers. Runaway inflation, pervasive  corruption as the mullahs siphon off the public monies into their pockets, the IRGC and Basij thugs controlling the social life of the people…all have contributed to the “new revolution.”

Grand Ayatollah Khamenei inspecting Military cadet graduation at Tehran. Will they fire on their own people? The Biden intel community is betting they will.

Will it succeed? I an still skeptical but hopeful I was wrong. One item which has boosted my optimism that it might just succeed is that Biden’s Intelligence folks think it will fail. Anytime  our CIA  makes a prediction  there is good reason to think the opposite. I was on the Intelligence board for infamous National Intelligence Estimate  of 1978 in which the opening lines were “Iran is likely to remain stable under the Shah’s leadership over the next several years … The prospects are good that Iran will have relatively clear sailing until at least the mid-1980s.”   I was the army intel representative and had little to do with it as the CIA big boys run those shows. Anyway less than a year later, the Shah was out.

Our intel in Iran then was very  poor for a number of reasons, and there are many books out to describe the debacle,  but the point is that our intel now is even worse.  I spent enough time around the intel community to be able to say we have no idea how the Iranian army will react. In the shah’s time the military leaders…with a few heroic exceptions…. were a fearful, incompetent bunch. The soldiers refused to fire on the crowds. Will they do so now? The vital question  is the SS of the Iranian regime…the IRGC. Will they kill their own people? The regular army has always been suspect in the eyes of the Iranian regime. And how about the Basij…the Brown Shirts of the Iranian regime. Will they stand firm.? All questions but no answers yet.

I am reading lots of tweets with google translations from Iranian sources saying that the regime is under water, officials are moving their families to Beirut and  Qatar, the oil  workers are going on strike. the Iranians are bringing in Hezbollah thugs from Lebanon to fight the protestors, Army officers are making anti-regime noises…etc Believable ? yes but….!! Maybe too good to be true.

Another question! Why so little mainstream media attention? My educated guess is that the  the Obama/Biden regime, which has given Iran the “most favored nation” attention supplicating them to sign a worthless Nuc deal.. there by releasing plane loads of cash and other goodies for the regime, is embarrassed…… and the state -run media has circled the wagons to protect them.  Am I Mua’mara (conspiracy) minded.? A few years ago I would have said yes…. but in these days of  US government crack down on   John Q. Citizen  dissent to Obama/Biden manifestos , these things are not only possible but probable.

see https://www.nysun.com/article/why-biden-is-betting-irans-latest-revolution-will-fail

 

 

 

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The New Iranian “Revolution.” Chances of Success?

the good old days in Iran. The Shah was an authoritarian, pretentious, egocentric  ruler but compared to the regime today he was a decent human being.

To understand this m new development in Iran one must look back to the 1978-79 revolution that ousted the Shah. Like this new movement in Iran it had certain similarities. In late 1977, intellectual, elite  sectors of the Iran populations began criticizing the shah, including having a poetry festival which was used to denounce the regime of the Shah. The Shah did not crack down. Soon the religious clerics of Iran took up the banner of revolt, following the sermons of Ayatollah Khomeini, at that time in Iraq since 1963 when he was exiled by the Shah for his fiery Anti- Shah sermons. The Iranian pilgrims to Najaf Iraq brought back cassettes and pamphlets of Khomeini’s speeches urging revolution.  Saddam’s regime, happy to get rid of a  troublesome Shi’a cleric, agreed to  send Khomeini  away.The Shah thought that if he could get the Ayatollah sent away to Europe his ability to communicate with is followers would atrophy.  Khomeini was sent to Paris. Unfortunately the Shah’s strategy failed .Just the reverse happened. Because of the much better array of communication capabilities available in France, the cassettes of the Ayatollah  were heard everywhere, from the mosques to the tops of apartment buildings with loud speakers.

Iranian soldiers march during a military parade as they mark the country’s annual army day in Tehran, on April 18, 2019. – Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani called on Middle East states on April 18 to “drive back Zionism”, in an Army Day tirade against the Islamic republic’s archfoe Israel. Speaking flanked by top general as troops paraded in a show of might, Rouhani also sought to reassure the region that the weaponry on display was for defensive purposes and not a threat. (Photo by – / AFP) (Photo credit should read -/AFP via Getty Images)

Meanwhile the rabble emerging from the shanty towns  of impoverished peasants  of the major cities began challenging the Iranian security force and bloody encounters followed, especially the Jaleh square “massacre” of September 8, 1978.  The was  followed by an endless cycle  of the traditional Shi’a 40 days of mourning culminated by another protest on the fortieth day….always ending  in gunfire and more martyrs.

At this point The US president Jimmy Carter got nervous about the situation in Iran, in which the US had about 20000 advisors, technicians and hangers on  so he  and sent General Huyser to Iran to investigate the staying power of the military. He found that the Iranian military were mostly jelly-like  creatures in bemedaled uniforms. They had  no initiative, were fearful, and enjoyed no respect from their own officers. The officers, like most Middle Eastern countries ,had no contact with their soldiers. The soldiers drawn from the poor folk of Iran, were attracted to the Islamic messages of the Khomeini supporters, and were led by more educated often marxist sympathizers of the  upper class , western educated elitists rebelling  against the Shah.

When called upon to fire on their own people the soldiers often  refused  and later on they deserted with their weapons  and join the rebels. This spelled the end of the Shah. The beginning of the end was when the warrant officers of the Air Force (homofars ) broke into arms rooms and handed  out weapons to the mobs.

On 19 Jan, 1979, The Shah departed never to return and a succession of governments took place, each being displaced by the Khomeini forces led by the Ayatollah who retuned on 1 Feb 1979, until the Ayatollah instituted the Velayet-e- faqih which basically gave him totalitarian powers and in effect he became the visible form of the Shi’a “hidden Imam” who was to led the world to salvation and the utopia. His rule was to be unquestioned

Khomeini himself, as depicted by some of his  former followers, turned off by his murderous despotic character, described him as a duplicitous, lying, corrupt individual, drunk by the prospect of power. His former follower, who was instructed by Khomeini, Ayatollah Jallal Ganjei  described his former mentor this way  in the book The Iran Threat by Alireza Jafarzadeh.

Mr Sunshine

It is noteworthy that the first revolts against the Khomeini rule was on 8 March 1979 when women protested against the mandatory wearing of the  Hijab.  see

https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/chador-wars-learning-to-live-without-legitimacy/

“Ironically, in the prelude to the revolution, the chador became a garment of choice for secular women who protested the Shah’s rule. Khomeini made the hijab mandatory and the chador as “the best hijab.” When Iranian women protested against the new mandate, they were brutally dispersed, and some were arrested. In 1983, Majlis decided that unveiled women would be punished with 74 lashes; as of 1995, they could be imprisoned for up to 60 days.”

Women protest against mandatory wearing of Hijab march 1978

The revolution against the Shah was a 9 -month affair, beginning with very  small protests gradually enlarging to a national revolt.

Unfortunately I do not see this happening now in Iran as much as I would like to see it succeed. Iran, and China are the two greatest threats to the stability of the Western world and the destruction of the Clerical totalitarian state in Iran should be a prime objective of the US government…unlikely as it is to be. Why Pessimistic?

1. This Hijab revolt has no leader, no secular or moderate cleric with the charisma and  fortunate circumstances that availed  Khomeini.

2. The protestors are the elite and often more effete of the Iranian upper and middle classes. They cannot stand up to the shanty town thugs of the Basij and IRGC.  The Tudeh ( Communists) fought against the Khomeini  mobs, tough people from the slums and were defeated.Many  Western analysts believed that with the exit of the Shah the Communists would take over.

3. The shah was sick with raging cancer. He was physically and spiritually unable to command  his forces in 1978 and his generals and top officials, with very few exceptions were spineless, corrupt individuals who simply did as they were told…and others such as the Shah’s lifelong friend General Hossien Fardust were cowardly traitors.  See his cringing memoirs , The Rise and Fall of the Pavlavi Dynasty by Ali Akbar Darieni. The Basij and IRGC are deeply embedded in the society of Iran and have become rich under the Mullah rule. The senior clerics of Iran have enriched themselves with religious endowments and government largesse. They have much to lose in a revolution. They will come down hard on the rebellious women.

4. The West is  currently saddled with weak leadership and no support other than useless words are to be expected. The women and their supporters of Iran are on their own.

Protest in Iran 1978

Some of the  books I think are good to read for the non academic look at the Iran revolution of 1978

Mission to Iran by the Ambassador to Iran during the end of the Shah’s reign  William Sullivan.

Faces In a Mirror by Ashram Pahlavi, The sister of the Shah who was accused of every possible depravity known to man by the Islamist regime, probably 90% baseless, but she was tough  and  pushed the always hesitant Shah to bite the bullet but he did not.

Mission to Tehran by General  Robert “Dutch” Huyser.  He was was very pessimistic of the ability of the Iranian generals to save the Shah…in fact President Carter, the American and British ambassadors were not giving the shah the support he needed to persevere.

An Endearing  Love; My life withe Shah by Farah Pahlavi. The last queen of the Shah, preceded by the sister of King Farouk, who hated Iran,  Soraya, a Baktiari beauty  who was unable to have a child.  A rather sentimental and sometimes touching memoir who has tried to resurrect her husbands memory currently depicted as a  despicable tyrant framed by the “black and the Red” media…the leftist and Islamist.

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Middle Eastern Russian Linked Terrorism

Middle Eastern Russian Linked Terrorism

Wadie Haddad Russian point man for terrorism

The depth of Russian immersion into the La Brea tarpits of Middle Eastern fanaticism and polarization is graphically illustrated by the level of Soviet/Russian involvement in terrorist activities in the Middle East. As the flip side of Russian counterinsurgency, which the Russians always linked with anti-terrorism, it should be of little surprise to note that the Russians were up to their necks in subsidizing, training, and organizing terror groups. Despite this the CIA in 1981 rendered a judgement that the Russians did not support terrorism.  This facile judgement was based on the theory that while the Russians trained and financed them, they eschewed acts of terrorism against civilians.

Read Ray S Cline and Yonah Alexander  Terrorism: the Soviet Connection.

Cristopher Andrew and Vasili Mitrokhin  ( The Sword and the Shield)found immense amount of materiel linking the Russian KGB to PLO terrorism, particularly  the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, (PFLP), the Popular Democratic Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, (PDFLP), the Abu Nidal Organization (ANO) and the Black September Organization (BSO). Much of this was done through the good offices of Wadi Haddad,the chief of operations of the PFLP and the primary link between the KGB. who had links to the various terror organizations of the Middle East. Those who have closely examined the Russian link to terrorism found that the Russians were fully aware of the operations targeting civilians.  The Russians also cultivated Yasir Arafat, Chairman of the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) but apparently the Russians considered him as a poseur and not useful to the Russian objectives.

Vatsili Mitrokhin A KGB Archivist and major. Defected to UK in 1992.

 

In consonance with the normal state of internecine warfare, murderous rivalries, and general chaos, which characterizes much of the Middle East, the terrorist groups and individuals cultivated by the Russians warred on each other and the Russians were unable to stay aloof. Much of the history of Putin’s rise to power and his decision to invade Chechnya was based on the alleged terrorist acts of the Islamist Chechens, despite the opinion of many observers who concluded that Putin used these atrocities as false flag operations to create fervor for another war in Chechnya.

The Russian prepossession with terrorism, which in the final analysis, was of little value to the Russians, can only be seen as one more piece of evidence illuminating the Middle Eastern rot the Russians inflicted upon themselves.

Anyone who thinks that with the transformation of the KGB to the FSB (Federal Security Service)  Russia has dropped its terrorist activities is a fool. But as we know the fools are numerous , especially in Western intelligence agencies. As Anatoly Golitsyn in his book New Lies for Old  details the close ties between the Russian KGB and the Eurocommunists.

If the FBI was not so busy looking for the unicorn “White Supremists”  they would likely  find ties between the Russian GU( Main Intelligence Agency) aka GRU and the marxist “woke” movement and  in Black Lives Matter and associated organizations with  marxist/leninist ideologies. These connections are   very diffuse and with lots of cover doors that conceal and deceive of course; For example the World Council of Churches (WCC) has been a communist front organization for many years. A perfect example is the East German infiltration ( The Stasi) of the German churches, especially the Lutheran, as laid out so expertly by Elizabeth Braw in her book God’s Spies.

The Islamist connection with Communism has been pointed  out by many. The outmoded idea that Marxism and Islamism are incompatible has been proven totally erroneous…dangerously so, but still useful  idiots  in the scholarly world still claim it is so. They, Islamism and Communism,  are both totalitarian ideologies, advocating achieving power by violence.  The “religious” facade of Islamism is as fictitious as the “class struggle” of the Leninists. Power is the objective  of both movements and as  Winston Churchill correctly pointed out over a hundred years ago…Socialism  simply presages the  imposition of Communism.q

How many Muslim  clerics are in the pay of the Russian GRU…. Financed through cut out means to conceal their sources? One can surmise that the Iranian clerical(  the basis of their regime) love affair with the Russian despots and oligarchs are part of this picture.

Final thought: ISIS and al Qaeda are state run terror organizations. The regimes that employs them may vary  from time to time but one can safely conclude they are not Gofundme  financed.

 

 

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The 9/11 Report. Dereliction of Duty by The United States Command Authorities

MEMRI the premier American counter-terrorism organization  published this summary of Al Qaeda boasting on the various servers that carry their exhortations for their followers and sympathizers …As below

Attacks As An Extension Of The Battle Of Badr

The message, which has a similar style to those prepared by slain Al-Qaeda leader Ayman Al-Zawahiri, who was killed in a U.S. drone strike in Kabul on July 31, starts by underlining the significance of the Battle of Badr, saying that despite the long record of victories in Islamic history, Badr has special importance due to the scarce resources of the Muslim fighters at that time, who were mostly equipped with their faith and courage.

After a lengthy description of the Battle of Badr, the message addresses the significance of 9/11, stressing that it has a similar impact on the global course of events.

Citing American author Paul Kennedy, who allegedly wrote that 9/11 was a turning point in shaping the events of the 21st century, the message asserted that “America will never return to what it used to be before the collapse of its biggest icons: the Pentagon, the headquarters of the U.S Department of Defense – the greatest power in the human history, and the World Trade Center, a skyscraper that represents its economic hegemony, and the frightening financial dominance of American capitalism.”

 

The ‘Timeless’ 9/11 Attacks Were Unexpected

The message argues that the importance of 9/11 attacks lay in the fact that they were totally unexpected. “The attacks hit America in a place that it had never considered or expected.” Recalling the day of the attacks, the message highlights the leadership of slain Al-Qaeda leader, Osama Bin Laden, saying that the American press reported on the day of the attack that “a Muslim called Osama Bin Laden, in the farthest corners of the earth and in its forests, threw four spears [i.e., airplanes] from Kandahar to Washington and New York, and three of these spears hit America’s military and economic hearts.”

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It further boasted that 9/11 killed more people than those killed in Pearl Harbor attack. Glorifying the impact of the attacks, the message describes them as “timeless Islamic conquest that the whole world watched on live broadcast,” adding that “the world has not seen or heard like them before, militarily or strategically.”

9/11 Attacks Ignited Strife Among The Crusaders

Elaborating on the impact of 9/11, the message argues that it ignited an internal conflict among the “Crusaders,” saying that both Western Europe with its Catholic majority along with Eastern Europe and its Orthodox majority, tried to exploit the attacks “to take down Protestant America” from the leadership of the world.

The message further boasted that 9/11 dealt a heavy blow to the American intelligence community, saying that it cast doubts among the American people and the world about the efficiency of their intelligence services.

“What made the Americans and others wonder: What if this attack was launched by a superpower or even terrorists who possess lethal weapons such as nuclear or bacterial weapons!”Discussing the economic impact of the attacks, the message underlined that targeting the World Trade Center “paralyzed the global and American economic system.”

My brief of Islamism is at  https://www.slideshare.net/tex66/islamist-briefpptx

In 2011 there was a blue ribbon congressional panel to review the progress in implementing the major recommendations of the original 9/11  Commission Report. They  Reviewed 9  major areas. But I will confine this blog to just one. The Unity of Command Effort. Anytime there is a way to create enlarge an already unwieldy  bureaucracy one can expect the American government to plunge ahead and establish new one, usually simply  complicating the security environment and creating another wiring diagram of command structure that no one understands. Thus the  new Department  Homeland Security Agency was quickly put together creating thousands of jobs,  now with a workforce of 230,000 people and a budget of  over $85 billion, combining 22 agencies  ostensibly meeting the goals of the 9/11 Report.  Like many government agencies, this has proved to be a useless entity and actually a  dangerous organization with ill-defined powers and responsibilities.

The left hand still does not know what the right hand is doing in American anti-terrorism. In fact, without adding anything to the counter-terrorism effort,  it has gotten completely off track in  pursuing perceived political enemies of the administration in a blatant attempt to intimidate or silence sections of the population considered unreceptive to the programs of the current regime in office. There is no talk of Islamist terrorism, because it does not fit into the political correct narrative  which , excludes any  discussion of any religion except “Christian white supremists.”  These  are indeed the unicorns of this era.If there is a threat from this “white supremists” where is the evidence, who is /are the leaders, where are they located? and most all why are the politicians not asking the questions?

Meanwhile it should be understood that Al Qaeda, like the ISIS are whores. They kill for pay and are largely supported by States interested in attacking their enemies.  Both Iraq and especially Iran have had, and Iran still does, strong connections to the Al Qaeda organization. see Iran 911 case of 23 Dec 2011 at https://iran911case.com

This, of course is usually kept under cover by a government that pursues a totally useless nuclear agreement with the premier terrorist state- Iran. The Islamist enticements are used to bring in the adventurers, the  misfits,  the naive, and the stupid and a few true believers. At the top the leadership are cunning exploiters of weak human nature and skillful manipulators  of psychology and symbology. Unfortunately the Qur’an provides ample narrative to support the violence they revel in. In Christianity the New Testament modified the “blood and guts” of the Old Testament but nothing exists in Islam to re-interpret the “sword verses”. Those few Muslim  intellectuals who try to emphasize the pen verses Islam are drowned out by the well, financed militants , who own the social media,  control the many of the mosques, and sometimes become chameleons, like the Muslim Brotherhood  posing with clueless Western politicians in three piece suits—and ironically are often supported by Western useful idiots in the pseudo -intellectual circles who  always attach themselves to any movement antithetical to the common people..the “deplorables. ”

This can be interpreted any number of ways and explained in a historical context that has little to do with the present world but the Islamists choose to interpret it in the way that suits them and their voices are above the others.

Make no mistake….. Islamist terror is the major terrorist threat to this nation. With unvetted people pouring across the borders , unhindered, unchecked, and thousands of Afghans who fled Kabul arriving in the US simply because they happened to be at the right place at the right time….the airport….our weak intelligence  systems have completely lost track of what is going on regarding foreign terrorist circles  working inside this country.

Of course some will point to the fact that there have been no 9/11’s since 2001 but the potential grows astronomically as our apathy and incompetent  leadership averts their eyes to pursue more lucrative political and financial paths.

Below is a good article to read separating islam from the ideology of Islamism

Islam and Islamism By Salim Mansur. Associate professor of Political Science at Western University at Ontario, Canada.

 at   http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/3865/islam-islamism

an excerpt below.

“Islam, a religion, cannot be turned into a handmaiden of politics; when this occurs, Islam is turned into Islamism. Its defining characteristic is its intolerance of others, including Muslims, and glorification of violence against all who disagree. The conflict inside the Muslim world might be characterized as one between tyranny and freedom, even if that tyranny is packaged in God’s name. The strategically right thing to do is provide moral and material assistance to Muslims struggling against Islamists.”

Unfortunately we -our leadership- is not doing that. We allow our freedoms and tolerance to be abused by our enemies.

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Is an Entity called Iraq Viable?

For many years I paid little attention to the news from Iraq. Most of the news was filtered through ideological or political  viewpoints and was simply a dreary day to day recitation of the corruption and abuse of power that has been Iraq’s story since the time of the Ottoman occupation. Actually the glory  days of Iraq ended withe sack of Baghdad by the Mongols in  1258.

But the last few days as big trouble seem  to be brewing in Baghdad I got interested again. As Bernard Lewis wrote, the  Ottoman Turks were not builders. They simply ruled, mostly by force, but generally in the acceptance of the Sunni ruling class, which until the overthrow of Saddam Hussein,  had ruled Iraq, including the period of British occupation and creation  of the modern state of Iraq. But the recent riots in Iraq did…. to a certain extent…. revive my interest in Iraq. Overall nothing much has changed ..it is a quagmire  of sectarian ideological, religious and political hatreds. It is corrupt to the core with only the Iranians evidencing any interest in becoming involved. Are they stupid or know something we do not? Well they are smarter than our leaders and  much bolder, but to what end I wonder?

Iranian God father Ali Khamenei

مجموعه سیمای رهبری معظم انقلاب اسلامی

The Shia of Iraq, long mostly ignored by Middle East historians and politicians have suddenly become a hot historical Middle East topic. Prior and even after the American liberation/occupation of Iraq most of the history and political commentary in the West favored the Sunni. From the time of Gertrude Bell’s writings  till now the Shi’a were depicted as a mysterious , dark, anarchic sect.  Many of the  Shi’a,  as Kanan Makiya ( Republic of Fear)  wrote,  were  originally  Sunni  who  settled into farming in the 19th century and converted to Shi’ism.  Their religious leaders were reactionary, issuing Fatwa’s condemning any Shi’a  participation in the newly emerging Iraqi government. As Makiya writes, these clerics lost influence among the Shi’a fellah because of their total absorption in religious piety and symbolism, while their Shi’a followers  suffered prolonged misgovernment and deprivation. Many began to follow the communist party and their promises of a better life.    Abd  al Karim Qassim, when he overthrew the Monarchy of the Feisel family in 1958, was able to take control of Iraq largely through assistance of the large communist party. Makiya says this is proof that the Shi’a sect  is not absorbed in the sectarian demands of Shi’ism but follow political and ideological currents like most others in Iraq.

President Barack Obama shakes hands with Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki following their meeting in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington 2013 |  Muqtada’s mortal enemy

 

At ht same time, the minorities in Iraq, Christians, Yezidis, Kurds, etc. basically have done  whatever is necessary to survive.  The Christians were largely wary but content with Saddam…as opposed to an Islamist regime, and  being without means to gain power they were generally left to their own devices by Saddam.

In his article (Is Iraq Viable) from  the Crown Center for Middle East Studies Makiya reviewed the works of two authorities on recent Iraq history, Ali A Alawi and Hazem Sagie. Both well-respected as analytical   historians on Iraq.  Both basically  agree there is no future  for a nation called Iraq. They say the dormant ethnic and tribal hatreds format exploded after the American liberation/occupation, but that they have been there for centuries waiting for a spark. Kanan Makiya does not agree. He writes  that the  Iraqi Story is not over….but I have doubts.

There are many of course who say it was only the American invasion that loosed this maelstrom of sectarian violence. Typical is one writer, an acquaintance,   who spent a lot of time with Sunni insurgents in Iraq. I bought two of his books… actually a waste. He espoused  the typical marxist  viewpoint that all evils are largely American-made. He did rightly  say, however, that the liberal academic mantra that the Islamists are “bad Muslims” was  stupid. Actually these islamists believed  (as they do today)they were the only good Muslims. As long as Western academics  and government officials go on spouting nonsense about Islamic terrorists being “bad Muslims” we will never identify the enemy…at least one of our enemies…we have many “experts”now!

Anyway this fellow  wrote...”The Bush administration based its strategy in Iraq on the mistaken notion that, under Saddam, the Sunni minority ruled the Shiite majority. In fact, Iraq had no history of serious sectarian violence or civil war between the two groups until the Americans invaded. Most Iraqis viewed themselves as Iraqis first, with their religious sects having only personal importance. Intermarriage was widespread, and many Iraqi tribes included both Sunnis and Shiites. Under Saddam, both the ruling Baath Party and the Iraqi army were majority Shiite.”

To this my learned Iraqi friend , a Shia , wrote

“This is an ideal image that exist only in Hollywood production. As an Iraqi Shiite who lived in Iraq under Saddam for more than 30 years I never felt equal to my Sunni counterparts. And I never  felt comfortable revealing my sect or practicing my rituals – as simple as giving away a dish of rice to my Sunni neighbors. I always felt  I am being treated as a less than a citizen. One example when I applied for a job in the government as a translator. I was the only one out for four approved applicants who was summoned to the intelligence headquarters in Baghdad because my full name indicated that I’m a Shiite. The other applicants were all Sunnis. The intelligence officer asked me all kind of questions about my family affiliations. He finally let me go because he knew my family history was clear and had no holes. As for army, yes it true the majority of soldiers and officers were Shiites but they won’t be promoted to high ranks except in few cases.For examples, my uncle, mom’s brother, was first class Shiite officer (graduated from Sandhurst)  but he was marginalized and was denied the promotion for two years while his Sunni counterparts were promoted to generals. When he finally was promoted to a general, he was forced to retire. Dad in his position of the Mayor Deputy was denied many privileges given to his Sunni  counterparts because- only because he was a Shiite. “

Actually the Shi’a did not revolt sooner– not because they felt comfortable under Sunni  rule– but basically because they were astute enough to know that they would be slaughtered by the Iraqi army- as were the  Christian Assyrians in the Simele massacre of 1933. The general, Bakr  Sidki who led the slaughter was acclaimed  a national hero. Nuri Said once answered  a Western writer why he did not let the young King Feisel II more latitude in running the country, he replied “how could I let him loose among these barbarians”?

King Feisel II of Iraq. Murdered by General Qassim’s thugs along with his entire family and servants 1958.  He was 22. He was known as a very promising young man

The gruesome barbaric murder of the king and his entire family..as well as  the PM Nuri Said …was well told by Gerald de Gaury in his book, Three Kings in Baghdad.  The overall perpetrator of the murders, General Qassim met a similar end in a similar way.

The end of Qassim and two of his lieutenants. In the Ministry of defense 1963

 

So this brings us to Muqtada Al Sadr. his great-grandfather is  Ismael al Sad. Mohammed Sadeq al-Sadr, Muqtada al-Sadr’s father, was a respected figure throughout the Shi’a Islamic world. He was murdered, along with two of his sons,  by  Saddam . Muqtada’s  father in law was executed by the Iraqi authorities in 1980. Muqtada is a cousin of the  respected Muse al Sadr, the Iranian-Lebanese founder of the popular Amal Movement.

His Happiness, Muqtada al Sadr. Married but no children

Most  the books written  about Iraq some years ago cast him as the  heavy ( villain) but today in much of the Western Press he is cast as the last great hope for Iraq.  Just like Saddam was pictured before 199,  he is seen as a bad guy but one we (the West )could deal with. In the past century we have read this many times….Hitler , Stalin,  Saddam, Assad,  Khamenei….. all  the diplomats  said and still say are/were  “people we can deal with.”  An American colonel who has had four  tours of duty in Iraq, wrote that Muqtada  was just that…the man who can save Iraq. But as a functioning nation there isn’t much about Iraq to be saved. If Iraq can be salvaged, Muqtada is not the man to do it. Outside  his fervent following, mostly among urban impoverished Shi’a, he has little support, especially outside Arab and Islamic support. Muqtada is a chameleon. A man who sees himself as a champion of the people. He  changes colors to move with the prevailing winds.
Muqtada has been and out of the Iranian tent so many times it is difficult to know whether  he is in or out. As of yesterday he seemed to be out…. but  never place Muqtada in anybody’s box.

An excellent article from New Lines magazine lays it out  better than anything I’ve read for a long time. One of the main points I get from this article is that  the Shi’a mainstream – Iraqi and Iranian- has always been an enemy of the sadrists. The recent rebuke from his mentor al Ayatollah Kazem Hairi,  a cleric in the Iranian regime pocket, is just one of many examples.  See  https://newlinesmag.com/argument/the-trouble-with-muqtada-al-sadr/

one excerpt from the article below:

Sadr has huge grassroots support — millions of people who are culturally, religiously, territorially and politically Sadrists, even though they may not be fervent Muqtada followers. This understanding of the wider Sadrist population and the distinction from the politically active Sadrist trend is clear to him but confusing to others. The success of the Sadrists in the October 2021 elections gave credence to his view that he is the political king of the Shiites in Iraq. At every turn Sadr feels he has been betrayed and pressured by allies, leaving him out on his own. When his father-in-law was killed in 1980, the Hawza in Najaf, where  Shiite Muslim scholars are educated, did nothing to help his family and continued classes as if nothing happened. When the 1991 intifada against Saddam’s regime was beginning to be crushed, Iran and the U.S. did not intervene to save it or the tens of thousands who were buried in mass graves.”

In summary Ali Alawi wrote

Presiding over Iraq as the Coalition forces arrived Alawi wrote was “a fearful, heavily armed minority”—that is, the Sunnis—whose decaying institutions and ruling ideology masked the real dangers of “divisiveness, vengefulness, deeply held grievances and bottled-up ethnic and sectarian passions” lurking underneath Iraqi Arab society.”

To some extent, as is the way of the world, the oppressed have become the oppressors, and are now at each others throats.

 

 

 

 

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The Stark and the Vincennes. A vignette of Iranian terrorism the Biden regime would like to Bury

On 17 May 1989, an Iraqi aircraft was detected by an American AWACS aircraft flying toward an excursion  zone in the Persian Gulf headed straight for the American Destroyer Stark. It demanded the Iraqi jet identify itself but there was no response. The American Air Traffic Controller was surprised because  normally the Iraqi Mirage F-1 s normally complied with warnings but this one did not. The Iraqi French built Mirage F-1’s were flown by the Iraqi pilots known as the flying club because they were flying the  best the Iraqis had and  the pilots were mostly from prominent Sunni families tied  into the Saddam regime.  The Stark’s CO took no action because similar things had happened in the past and the Iraqis had turned away. This one did not.  The CO did not see any early warning indications on his electronic detection systems so he did nothing, At 20 miles out the Starks radio operators sent a message to the Iraqi craft saying they were preparing to fire if the aircraft did not turn back immediately. The Iraqi aircraft  did not have an IFF system on board.

A view of damage sustained by the guided missile frigate USS STARK (FFG-31) when it was hit by two Iraqi-launched Exocet missile while on patrol in the Persian Gulf.

At that moment the Iraqi aircraft fired two Exocet missiles. The Iraqi pilot did not know what he was firing at. It was just a blur on the screen. Simultane,ously  the ships chief petty officer sounded battle stations but too late. Both missiles  hit the Destroyer killing 37 crew members outright band 7 more died later.   In order to keep the ship afloat, the captain had to flood the compartment were the bodies of the dead sailors were located. The ship limped beck to Bahrain and did not sink. The Iraqis apologized and all the evidence showed it was not a deliberate attack on the American ship.

The aftermath.  Years later indicated it was not an F-1EQ5  but rather a Falcon 50 commercial Executive  jet which was originally Iranian but had been brought to Iraq by Iranian deserters from the air force.  It flew in  airways normally used by commercial flights around the Gulf and flew higher to avoid detection, descending quickly to fire its missiles and head for home and a drink at the Flying Club water hole.  The  pilot was never identified by the Iraqi leadership, even after occupation by the Americans.  ( One source says he fled to Iran). For his caution- and the fact that the commander always takes the responsibility- ( except for the Kabul debacle for which incompetent generals are still striding about the Pentagon), the Stark’s Captain was blamed.  He did do a creditable job getting the ship back to port.  However, he  was fired and his naval career ended.

So fast forward to July 3, 1988. The  US navy ship USS Vincennes was cruising  near  Abu Must island in the Persian Gulf  island escorted by two Frigates, on their  way to protect an oil tanker convoy against Iranian interdiction. The Vincennes was a up- to- date high tech guided missile Cruiser. equipped with latest air craft  detection systems.

At some point Revolutionary Guard gunboats were detected moving toward the oil tanker convoy and the Vincennes with escorts sped up to attack the Iranian ships. Some fifty miles away from the original position of the American ships, they lost contact with the Iranian ships who had decided that that day was not a good day for martyrdom. Unfortunately at that point, an Iranian Airbus  Fit. 655 left Tehran for a flight across the Gulf to the United Arab Emirates. It is ironic that most aboard were Iranians or their families who were working in the oil industry that their compatriots in then Iranian Armed forces were trying to destroy.

 

 

The airliner was detected but there was confusion as to whether it was civilian or military and the  ship’s crew could not connect the flight to any known commercial flight. The Iranian airliner was warned on both the military and civilian frequencies but the Airliner crews were not monitoring them, happily sailing along with the InshaAllah attitude that all will be well despite the fact they were flying over a war zone. Another warning was sent and again no response. At this time, everyone including the ship’s captain, were remembering what had happened to the USS  Stark  The  Captain was  undoubtably thinking about the lost  career of the Start’s captain and gave the order to fire.

The Airliner was hit by two SM-2 Standard missiles and torn to pieces. All 300 people aboard died.The Iranian regime was furious and in full vengeance mode. President Reagan offered regrets  but did not apologize. All sorts of conspiracy theories arose, including that it was a deliberate act to end the Iran-Iraq war. This theory was fortified by the fact that the Vincennes CO was given the legion of merit for his  service during this time, giving credence to then idea it was intentional. Of course the ever suspicious Iranians never believed it was an accident. Not surprising in that Iranians seldom believe each other, let alone foreigners, and usually speak in such terms as to bewilder any person trying to get at the truth. Even the Arabs believe the Iranians speak with forked tongue.

In fact the truth was less palatable. The  crew of the Vincennes was poorly trained on the use of their sophisticated equipment, there was confusion in the operations room, the Stark induced stress, and less than steady control of events by the Captain all contributed to the tragedy. The two old frigates escorting the Vincennes using their old radar had correctly identified the aircraft but the Captain of the Vincennes did not ask for their input.

The fellow  US  naval officers of the Vincennes captain subsequently  apparently shunned him, and  despite his medal, his career  duly flickered out.  No stars for the captain. The shutdown was a result of a comedy, a tragic comedy of errors on both American and Iranian sides.

BUT WAIT. There is much more to the story.

Wreckage of pan am 103

Five months later Pan Am flight 103 exploded over Scotland killing 270 people. For years it was assumed that it was the work of the Libyan nutcase Gaddafi, which in terms of execution it was …but it was instigated and paid for by  Khomeni’s regime. Ali Akbar Mohtashamipur, was the Iranian agent who paid the Libyans to do the job.  But Iran was not finished. On March 10, 1989 the  USS Vincennes Captains wife driving her SUV near San Diego narrowly escaped death when her car was torn apart by a bomb. Note Similar in scope to the attempted assassination of Salman Rushdie.

So these are the people the current group of amateurs at the State Department are seeking to reach a new and improved JCPOA…the Iranian Nuclear deal, so earnestly appealed for by Biden. They see us as weak beggars for a piece of paper not worth the price of a recycled  sheet. Why this unstable American regime seeks this piece of useless paper eludes me and most others who understand the culture of Iran, and the nature of appeasement. These incidents are rarely recalled because to do so would bring out the lack of  Iranian trustworthiness and futility of any agreement  with Iran.

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The Rushdie Affair

Iranian soldiers march during a military parade as they mark the country’s annual army day in Tehran, on April 18, 2019. – Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani called on Middle East states on April 18 to “drive back Zionism”, in an Army Day tirade against the Islamic republic’s archfoe Israel. Speaking flanked by top general as troops paraded in a show of might, Rouhani also sought to reassure the region that the weaponry on display was for defensive purposes and not a threat. (Photo by – / AFP) (Photo credit should read -/AFP via Getty Images)

Salman Rushdie in 1988 wrote the Book The Satanic Verses, a book few read and even fewer understood. An Indian Muslim by birth and educated in England it was not until the book was published in the US that suddenly it became a sensation.  Still few  read it  but excerpts lifted from the book outraged the anointed ones in Tehran and the great philosopher, Grand Ayatollah , and God’s representative on Earth , Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini decided on a death sentence for Rushdie. Obviously one of his smart young handlers brought to his attention the “Blasphemous”  verses in the book.  Maybe was that Georgetown University fan of  Khomeini fan Sadegh  Ghotbzadeh.( Executed in 1982). Enemies of God are everywhere apparently.!!!  Now Rushdie is depicted , by those who have had dealings with him, as a typical British megalomanic intellectual, anti -America, pretty well contemptuous of the great unwashed, who are unable to understand his esoteric writing . I never read the  book. but I read a lot about it by people who claim superior intelligence. Some academics, such as Bernard Lewis did make some  sense of the mostly murky writing. He also explained in very erudite terms  why Khomeini as the self appointed head of the Shia world of Islam…(and probably in the Gand Ayatollah’s mind, the Sunni world as well) condemned the book. The  God King Ayatollah  Khomeini then passed the death sentence on Rushdie. Coming from “God” it was considered irrevocable.

In any event the demonstrations of outraged Muslims in the West, ( as usual America was the first victim of violent protests despite having  no connection to Rushdie ) and lots of academic mush printed about it, created a huge market for the book. Those who bought it probably  read a few pages and then put  it prominently  on a book shelf to be displayed should they be interviewed on TV.

Some years later,  Khomeini’s successor ( Ali Khamenei) downplayed the death sentence, but apparently the assailant of Rushdie did not get the word. Much more likely, like the scheme to kill John Bolton and Mike Pompeo it is an Iranian paid assassination attempt. No doubt, critics of Iranian Islamism, and their crass  imperialism,  or even some aspect of Islam, will take notice and the liberal left wing marshmallows who control book publishing and the media  will be filled with trepidation. The NYT and WaPo after some tepid  reproofs will see the Assailant as another  deranged Muslim whom was known by his neighbors as a nice friendly fellow. Well I could be wrong!!!There is always the  chance the assailant could be a “white Nationalist.” In that case one can bet that the  Department of “Justice” and the FBI  will  be all over it.

The clueless  Western Foreign Service  snow flakes  who  negotiate withe Iranian terrorist regime  on the NUC plan (JCPOA)   will not connect the dots. They are not intellectually  discerning or physically  brave enough to do so.

As Jean-Fracois Revel wrote in his book “How Democracies Perish,  “Democratic civilization is the first in history to blame itself because another power is working to destroy it.”Unless free people are willing to oppose totalitarianism, democracy may perish. So we must defend insufferable snobs who write balderdash because our republic and freedom hangs on it .

 

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Obstacles to progress in the Middle East

Inserting my older but still relevant PPT of the obstacle to progress in the Middle East. I think these slides are self explanatory..at least for those who follow the Middle East. After these 6 years there has been no noticeable change upward and in fact the region looks more bleak than ever.

 

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